Eagles vs Bears : The Chicago Bears (3-4) head to Philadelphia to face the Eagles (4-4) Sunday afternoon. Both teams have been disappointing so far this season after making the playoffs last year, where the two teams met–and where the Eagles ended the Bears’ season in the Wild Card round this past January.
What is the line telling you: Bookmakers offshore opened this line up with the Eagles being a 3-point favorite over the Bears with the combined total set at 45, and within 24 hours we witnessed the points spread catapult a full two points on the home favorite. The total has also seen a massive three-point drop down to 42. As of right now, the 4-4 Eagles are laying 5 points to a hungry 3-4 Chicago Bears team that has lost three straight games.
Chicago has lost three in a row, while Philadelphia managed to get a win against a tough Buffalo team last week to end its losing skid. So which of these troubled teams has the edge in this one? Here’s a breakdown of the game, with betting odds and predictions:
The Bears are a team in flux right now. They have been one of the worst offensive teams in football this year, but they’re coming off their best offensive performance of the year last week–in a game they lost to the Chargers. Rookie David Montgomery rushed for 135 yards and a score, and Matt Nagy relied heavily on the I-Formation offense to move the ball on the ground. It worked. But will Nagy be able to out-scheme his good friend on the other side of the field in Doug Pederson?
The Eagles are giving up 90.5 rushing yards a game, but they’re slipping a bit on defense of late. Philly has given up an average of 136.3 yards on the ground over the past three games, and Montgomery is just now heating up. If Nagy can get the run game going again, his team can keep this one close.
Much with the Bears will rely on the arm of their struggling quarterback, Mitchell Trubisky. Trubisky has struggled hitting open receivers and deciphering defenses all season–and this was supposed to be the year he broke out. While the team showed signs of an offensive awakening last week, Trubisky had two costly fourth quarter turnovers that took his team out of the game. He will have to play better this week if the Bears want to keep their season from going entirely off the rails.
The Eagles have been dealing with their fair share of drama this season. Whether it has been anonymous Eagles players talking trash about their team, or recently cut players like Orlando Scandrick trashing Pederson, Malcolm Jenkins and the entire organization, this is not the same Philly team that won the Super Bowl just a few seasons ago.
Quarterback Carson Wentz is playing well amongst all the drama swirling around him, and former Bears running back Jordan Howard will be entering this game with something to prove. While the Bears still have a top 10 defense, Howard will be running hard at them all day, and if Trubisky and the offense can’t give them ample rest, it’s going to be a long day for this Bears team.
Bears vs Eagles: Trends, Pick & Prediction
SPREAD: Bears +4
Odds Shark has the Eagles winning by a projected score of 28-15, which has Philly covering the spread, and the point total going over. The Bears are fighting for their season here, so we think this game is going to be closer than that.
I feel really good about the Philadelphia Eagles’ chances of beating the Chicago Bears today and I think that’s a little strange.
It was just last week when the Eagles were coming off two straight blowout losses heading into Buffalo. The Eagles’ win over the Bills was decisive, yes, but it wasn’t a performance that erased all previous doubts about this team.
And yet, again, I just feel really good about the Eagles today.
Getting key players back from injury — hello there, DeSean Jackson — is certainly a big reason for optimism. The Eagles’ wide receiver “production” has been so abysmal without No. 10 on the field. It’s unclear just how effective Jackson will be but at the very least his mere presence is more threatening than having Mack Hollins out there. Carson Wentz had a real great chemistry with Jackson prior to the veteran’s injury so I imagine we’ll see them connect at some point.
Another reason why I feel so good about this game has nothing to do with the Eagles and everything to do with the Bears. More specifically, Mitchell Trubisky. The Bears’ starting quarterback has basically been a disaster this season. It’s hardly like the Eagles’ defense is impervious to getting shredded but I’d be shocked if Trubisky carves them up. The Eagles’ secondary figures to be stabilized with Ronald Darby, Jalen Mills, and Avonte Maddox all playing at cornerback. Much more importantly, Philly’s pass rush has been coming on in recent weeks. They should be able to pressure Trubisky into a turnover or two.
Lincoln Financial Field is going to be rocking with the Eagles playing their first game back at home since October 6. The players are going to give this everything they’ve got as they empty the tank ahead of the team’s Week 10 bye.
Just one game stands between the Eagles and the bye week, but it’s a big one — they’ll pretty much all be big games going forward as the margin of error for Philly is minimal after a less-than-stellar 4-4 start to the season.
This weekend, they’ll be hosting the Chicago Bears, the team they knocked out of the playoffs in the Wild Card game in January thanks to Cody Parkey’s now-infamous “Double Doink.” Unlike last season, when the Bears won the NFC North, Chicago is just 3-4 after three straight losses and is in desperate need of a win in order to right their ship. Will they be able to upset the Birds at home on Sunday, like the Birds upset them at Soldier Field back in January? Will Jordan Howard run wild against his former team? Will Allen Robinson go off against a secondary that’s had its fair share of issues this season?
There’s a bunch of things we don’t like about this game if you’re looking to invest in Philly here. The bet splits are heavily titled on the Eagles on almost 70% of all tickets punched so far offshore and in Vegas, and even more heavily tilted in surrounding betting houses.
Then, when you read between the lines, the sportsbooks initially implemented the Birds as only 3-point favorites at home vs. a team that hasn’t won a game in a month. So, what they’re telling us is that as bad as Chicago has played against their last three opponents, and as good as the Eagles looked last week vs. what was a 5-1 Buffalo Bills team, that if these teams played on a neutral field on Sunday this game would be a pick’em.
The other angle that should scare you off of laying that dead number (minus-5) on the Eagles is that the Bears are starving right now for a win